D'Backs try to stop slide vs. Rockies

Baseball Betting Lines

05/13/2008 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Suddenly, the Diamondbacks are a team that can be beat. Arizona will try to halt its season-long losing streak tonight in the opener of a three-game series against the Colorado Rockies at Chase Field.

Arizona was swept in three games by the Chicago Cubs in the Windy City over the weekend, giving the Diamondbacks three straight losses for the first time this year. It was also the club's sixth loss in its last eight games, and Arizona's lead over Los Angeles for first place in the National League West now stands at 3 1/2 games.

The Diamondbacks dropped Sunday's finale, 6-4, as Conor Jackson tripled and drove in a pair of runs for Arizona. Miguel Montero and Eric Byrnes each doubled and scored, while Augie Ojeda and Justin Upton drove in a run apiece.

The start of game was delayed for 58 minutes due to rain, so Arizona scratched scheduled starter Randy Johnson. Edgar Gonzalez started in his place and allowed two runs on five hits in five innings. Tony Pena (0-1) took the loss after allowing two runs in 1 2/3 innings of relief.

Johnson will now start tonight for Arizona. He is 2-1 with a 5.06 earned run average this year after besting Philadelphia last Tuesday. Johnson gave up four runs on six hits, but also struck out six in six innings of work to claim the victory.

The towering left-hander, who is 14 wins shy of 300 for his career, has yet to face Colorado this year due to starting the season on the disabled list because of back surgery. He is 15-7 with five complete games and a 2.27 ERA in 24 career starts versus the Rockies, who are batting .195 against him. Johnson has fanned 222 Colorado hitters in 178 2/3 innings against the club.

Johnson will also try to extend Arizona's 2008 success against the defending NL champion Rockies. The Diamondbacks won their first five matchups with Colorado before losing to the club, 13-5, the last time they met on April 13.

Colorado has followed a three-game win streak with back-to-back losses, including Sunday's 6-1 setback in San Diego. Garrett Atkins went 1-for-4 and scored the only run for the Rockies.

Greg Reynolds (0-1), who was called up prior to the game for his first big league start, absorbed the loss after he was touched for four runs on six hits in 5 2/3 innings.

Turning to a pitching prospect didn't help Colorado end its losing ways, and tonight the club will rest its hopes on an ace that is still searching for his first win of 2008.

Jeff Francis won 17 games for the Rockies last year, but is 0-3 with a 5.27 ERA through seven starts this season. That includes two losses in two starts versus Arizona on April 5 and 11, and the left-hander has a 9.53 ERA against the Diamondbacks this year.

Francis has been unable to keep Arizona in the ballpark this season, allowing six home runs against them, including two each to both Upton and Chris Young. He is 7-4 with a 4.25 ERA lifetime against Arizona in 16 starts.

Francis got a no-decision in his last start, yielding three runs on six hits and a season-high five walks to St. Louis on Wednesday. He left the game trailing 3-0, but the Rockies plated four runs in the eighth inning to claim a victory.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com

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